Penrith and The Border
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Election results
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won
Remain parties Liberal Democrat, Green and Labour together would have beaten the largest leave party (under proportional representation)
More polling and analysis
Our own analysis
Our analysis of past elections does not give a recommendation in this constituency.
- In our scenarios below, only Liberal Democrat has a victory.
- But this party was far behind other remain parties in the 2017 general election, so we will not make a recommendation.
Which outcomes are possible?
83%
Leave victory - Conservative won
17%
Remain can win if we work together. The largest party is Liberal Democrat.
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won (under proportional representation)
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won
Leave victory - Conservative won
Remain parties Liberal Democrat, Labour and Green together would have beaten the largest leave party (under proportional representation)
Leave victory - Conservative won (under proportional representation)
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