South West Hertfordshire

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Your local independent candidate.

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David Gauke tick Jon Worth (video!) recommends voting for David Gauke.
David Gauke tick Best for Britain recommends voting for David Gauke.
David Gauke tick Remain United recommends voting for David Gauke.
David Gauke tick People's Vote recommends voting for David Gauke.
David Gauke tick The Observer recommends voting for David Gauke.

Re-elect David Gauke

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David Gauke is the Independent candidate.

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Also standing here are: Gagan Mohindra (Conservative) Ali Aklakul (Labour) Tom Pashby (Green) Sally Symington (Liberal Democrat)

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Election results

General Election 2019


General Election 2017


General Election 2015


European Parliament 2019


More polling and analysis

Our own analysis

Our analysis of past elections does not give a recommendation in this constituency.
  • The current MP supports remain, and is standing as an independent. They left their old party in order to oppose brexit.
  • We are not making a recommendation: past polling is not a good guide here.

Which outcomes are possible?

58% Leave victory - Conservative won
25% Remain can win if we work together. The largest party is Liberal Democrat.
17% Remain victory - Liberal Democrats won

2017 General Election results, adjusted for recent opinion polls


2015 General Election results, adjusted for recent opinion polls


2019 European Parliament results, adjusted for recent opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Lib Dem-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Labour-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Brexit Party-leaning opinion polls


2019 European Parliament election results, adjusted for Lib Dem-leaning opinion polls


2019 European Parliament election results, adjusted for Labour-leaning opinion polls


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