Don Valley

Remain can win if we back Labour

Analysis

Possible election results

70% Remain win: Labour
20% If the leave vote is split, a remain alliance can win.
10% Largest party is UKIP / Brexit. An alliance would not have helped here.

Detailed scenarios

General Election 2017


General Election 2015


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Conservative-leaning opinion polls


European Parliament 2019 (estimated)


2019 European Parliament results (estimated), adjusted for recent opinion polls