Gloucester

Remain can win if we back one party

Analysis

Possible election results

60% If the leave vote is split, a remain alliance can win.
30% Largest party is Conservative. An alliance would not have helped here.
10% If the leave vote is split, a remain alliance can win.

Detailed scenarios

General Election 2017


General Election 2015


2017 General Election results, adjusted for recent opinion polls


2015 General Election results, adjusted for recent opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Lib Dem-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Labour-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Conservative-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Brexit Party-leaning opinion polls


European Parliament 2019 (estimated)


2019 European Parliament results (estimated), adjusted for recent opinion polls