North Down

Leave is likely to win here

Analysis

Possible election results

75% Largest party is DUP. An alliance would not have helped here.
25% Unusual result

Detailed scenarios

General Election 2017


General Election 2015


2017 General Election results, adjusted for recent opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Lib Dem-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Labour-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Conservative-leaning opinion polls


2017 General Election results, adjusted for Brexit Party-leaning opinion polls